Maccabi Netanyavs
Maccabi Tel Aviv
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Netanya 1-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Original prediction
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.66 | 19.7% | 27.7% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 21.2% | 24.8% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 59.1% | 47.5% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20