Maccabi Netanyavs
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/17/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Netanya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Netanya 1-0 Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Original prediction
Maccabi Netanya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 52.0% | 55.8% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.9% | 23.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 23.1% | 20.8% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Netanya
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Maccabi Netanya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40