GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 9/17/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Netanya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Maccabi Netanya are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hapoel Petah Tikva are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Netanya hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Maccabi Netanya holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Netanya

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Maccabi Netanya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi NetanyaLDWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Petah TikvaDWLDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Maccabi NetanyaHapoel Petah Tikva
36.4Attack25.3
51.5Defence48.5
38.4Form24.2
43.7Power35.6
1.24xG0.68
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