Maccabi Netanyavs
Hapoel Haifa
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/7/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Netanya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Netanya 1-1 Hapoel Haifa
Original prediction
Maccabi Netanya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.7% | 45.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.3% | 27.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 26.0% | 27.2% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Netanya
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Maccabi Netanya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20