Maccabi Kiryat Malachivs
Ironi Beit Shemesh
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/18/2026, 3:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 3-3 Ironi Beit Shemesh
Original prediction
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 52.1% | 65.4% | 13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.1% | 19.4% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 21.9% | 15.2% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
65.4%
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40