Maccabi Kiryat Malachivs
Hapoel Herzliya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-0 Hapoel Herzliya
Original prediction
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 40.9% | 44.6% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.5% | 27.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.6% | 27.6% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60