Maccabi Kiryat Malachivs
Hapoel Azor
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-0 Hapoel Azor, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 3-0 Hapoel Azor
Original prediction
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 33.8% | 40.8% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 30.7% | 28.8% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 35.5% | 30.4% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Projected Score
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0–0 Hapoel Azor
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00