Maccabi Kiryat Gatvs
Maccabi Herzliya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Kiryat Gat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1-1 Maccabi Herzliya
Original prediction
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.4% | 41.9% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.5% | 27.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.1% | 30.9% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Maccabi Kiryat Gat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40