Maccabi Kiryat Gatvs
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Kiryat Gat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kiryat Gat 2-2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Original prediction
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.5% | 48.5% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.1% | 28.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 25.4% | 23.2% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Projected Score
Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Maccabi Kiryat Gat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60