Maccabi Kiryat Gatvs
Kiryat Yam SC
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiryat Yam SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kiryat Gat 2-2 Kiryat Yam SC
Original prediction
Kiryat Yam SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.61 | 24.9% | 24.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 24.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 49.7% | 51.6% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Kiryat Yam SC
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Kiryat Yam SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40