Maccabi Kiryat Gatvs
Kafr Qasim
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Kiryat Gat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0-1 Kafr Qasim
Original prediction
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.3% | 37.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.2% | 28.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.6% | 34.5% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Maccabi Kiryat Gat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00