GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Leumit · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Bnei Raina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 0-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina

Original prediction

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.4925.9%26.4%0.5 pts
Draw3.5125.7%23.7%-2.1 pts
Away1.8748.4%49.9%1.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–27%

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Maccabi Bnei Raina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Maccabi Bnei RainaWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Bnei Raina
33.3Attack60.0
20.0Defence40.0
20.0Form60.0
28.1Power55.4
1.34xG2.12
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