Maccabi Kabilio Jaffavs
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1-2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Original prediction
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.3% | 40.0% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.3% | 27.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.4% | 32.9% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50