Maccabi Kabilio Jaffavs
Ironi Modi'in
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Modi'in · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 0-2 Ironi Modi'in
Original prediction
Ironi Modi'in
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.4% | 26.1% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.6% | 22.4% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.0% | 51.5% | 14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Modi'in
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Ironi Modi'in has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60