Maccabi Kabilio Jaffavs
Hapoel Ra'anana
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Ra'anana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1-3 Hapoel Ra'anana
Original prediction
Hapoel Ra'anana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.5% | 26.6% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 23.8% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.1% | 49.6% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Ra'anana
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Hapoel Ra'anana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20