Maccabi Kabilio Jaffavs
Hapoel Acre
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1-0 Hapoel Acre
Original prediction
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.4% | 48.3% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.6% | 24.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.0% | 27.6% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 0 · GA 16 · avg 0.00/3.20