Maccabi K. Ata Bialikvs
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/9/2026, 10:40:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-2 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
Original prediction
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.3% | 48.0% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.4% | 25.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.63 | 19.3% | 26.1% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60