Maccabi K. Ata Bialikvs
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/23/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-3 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Original prediction
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 46.9% | 46.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.4% | 23.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 27.7% | 29.6% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40