Maccabi Herzliyavs
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Herzliya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Maccabi Herzliya 1-0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Herzliya 0-1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Original prediction
Maccabi Herzliya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.8% | 57.9% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.0% | 24.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.2% | 17.3% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Projected Score
Maccabi Herzliya 1–0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Herzliya
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Maccabi Herzliya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00