Maccabi Herzliyavs
Kiryat Yam SC
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiryat Yam SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Herzliya 1-3 Kiryat Yam SC
Original prediction
Kiryat Yam SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.7% | 36.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.3% | 24.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.0% | 38.4% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Kiryat Yam SC
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Kiryat Yam SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00