Maccabi Herzliyavs
Kafr Qasim
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Herzliya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Herzliya 1-0 Kafr Qasim
Original prediction
Maccabi Herzliya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.3% | 38.9% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.9% | 27.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 25.8% | 33.6% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Herzliya
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Maccabi Herzliya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20