Maccabi Herzliyavs
Hapoel Kfar Saba
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Herzliya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Herzliya 0-2 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Original prediction
Maccabi Herzliya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.4% | 48.3% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.1% | 25.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.6% | 26.4% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Herzliya
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Maccabi Herzliya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00