Maccabi Haifavs
Villarreal
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/9/2023, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villarreal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Maccabi Haifa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Villarreal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Villarreal hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Villarreal holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Villarreal
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Villarreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60