GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maccabi Haifa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

34.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi HaifaWDLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PanathinaikosDWLWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi HaifaPanathinaikos
16.7Attack38.9
50.0Defence44.4
27.8Form22.2
34.7Power37.2
1.21xG1.16
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