Maccabi Haifavs
Panathinaikos
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Maccabi Haifa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00