Maccabi Haifavs
Ironi Tiberias
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Haifa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Haifa 3-2 Ironi Tiberias
Original prediction
Maccabi Haifa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 72.2% | 54.6% | -17.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.26 | 17.4% | 23.1% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 8.72 | 10.5% | 22.4% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Haifa
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Maccabi Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60