Maccabi Haifavs
Hapoel Petah Tikva
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/5/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Haifa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Haifa 2-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
Original prediction
Maccabi Haifa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 61.5% | 43.3% | -18.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.9% | 26.6% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 5.53 | 16.6% | 30.0% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Haifa
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Maccabi Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40