Maccabi Haifavs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Haifa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Haifa 2-5 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Original prediction
Maccabi Haifa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.8% | 45.7% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.6% | 24.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.6% | 29.5% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Haifa
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Maccabi Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40