Maccabi Bnei Rainavs
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Rishon LeZion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-1 Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Original prediction
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.7% | 25.5% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.5% | 23.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.8% | 51.4% | 14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40