Maccabi Bnei Rainavs
Hapoel Ra'anana
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/28/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Ra'anana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-2 Hapoel Ra'anana
Original prediction
Hapoel Ra'anana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.1% | 36.6% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.0% | 24.1% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 29.9% | 39.3% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Ra'anana
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Hapoel Ra'anana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60