Maccabi Bnei Rainavs
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Bnei Raina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Original prediction
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 47.8% | 48.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.4% | 21.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 27.8% | 29.5% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Maccabi Bnei Raina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60