GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 9/2/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Maccabi Bnei Raina are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hapoel Beer Sheva are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Beer Sheva hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Hapoel Beer Sheva holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maccabi Bnei RainaDLDLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel Beer ShevaWLLDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Maccabi Bnei RainaHapoel Beer Sheva
35.2Attack50.9
59.3Defence63.0
40.7Form56.5
47.2Power57.2
0.81xG1.18
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