Maccabi Bnei Rainavs
Hapoel Afula
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Afula · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Bnei Raina 4-2 Hapoel Afula
Original prediction
Hapoel Afula
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.4% | 34.7% | -14.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 26.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 24.0% | 38.6% | 14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Afula
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Hapoel Afula has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00