Maccabi Ashdodvs
Ironi Beit Shemesh
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/18/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Ashdod · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Maccabi Ashdod 0-0 Ironi Beit Shemesh, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Ashdod 2-2 Ironi Beit Shemesh
Original prediction
Maccabi Ashdod
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.3% | 36.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.2% | 30.3% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 33.5% | 32.9% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Projected Score
Maccabi Ashdod 0–0 Ironi Beit Shemesh
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Ashdod
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Maccabi Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00