Maccabi Ahi Nazarethvs
Maccabi Bnei Raina
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina
Original prediction
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.28 | 27.6% | 38.1% | 10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.7% | 27.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 44.7% | 34.4% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20