Maccabi Ahi Nazarethvs
Ironi Modi'in
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1-2 Ironi Modi'in
Original prediction
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.3% | 42.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.1% | 25.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 32.7% | 31.9% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20