Maccabi Ahi Nazarethvs
Hapoel Acre
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1-0 Hapoel Acre
Original prediction
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.5% | 54.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 24.9% | 23.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 21.6% | 22.4% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 0 · GA 18 · avg 0.00/3.60