GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 2/21/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Macarthur Rams · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Macarthur Rams are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Rydalmere Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Macarthur Rams hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the New South Wales NPL 2, while Macarthur Rams holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Macarthur Rams

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

13.9%

Macarthur Rams has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Macarthur RamsLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Rydalmere LionsDWWLW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Macarthur RamsRydalmere Lions
42.9Attack46.4
64.3Defence51.2
57.1Form45.2
57.1Power49.5
1.40xG0.90
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