Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Macara are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orense SC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the Liga Pro, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Macara
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
15.9%
Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00