Macaravs
Independiente del Valle
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 5/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Macara are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente del Valle
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
13.6%
Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40