Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Macara are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 0.33 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Guayaquil are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Macara
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.33/0.00
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.33/1.67