Liga ProLiga Pro
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Macara

Macara

Home
WWW
30
Full time
Deportivo Cuenca

Deportivo Cuenca

Away
DL
Estadio Bellavista
GoalVio prediction
66% confidence
Macara(66%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Macara
66%
Draw
24%
Deportivo Cuenca
10%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Macara
61
Deportivo Cuenca
18
Defence
Macara
86
Deportivo Cuenca
66
Momentum
Macara
100
Deportivo Cuenca
17
Danger (xG)
Macara
1.50
Deportivo Cuenca
0.45
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Macara)
1.50
avg per match
xG for (Deportivo Cuenca)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Macara)
0.30
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Cuenca)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MacaraMacara
WWWLW
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
DLW

Probability breakdown

66% confidence
Macara66%
Draw24%
Deportivo Cuenca10%

Macara leads with 66% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Macara head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Estadio Bellavista in strong form (WWW), while Deportivo Cuenca arrive in mixed form (DL). Macara have a 100% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Deportivo Cuenca over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Macara (86/100) and Deportivo Cuenca (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Macara have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Deportivo Cuenca have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Macara and Deportivo Cuenca in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Macara to win with 66% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Macara 6610%, Draw 2385%, Deportivo Cuenca 1005%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Macara

Macara

W
vs Mushuc Runa SC
14 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Tecnico Universitario
11 Jul 2026
20
W
vs LDU de Quito
5 Jul 2026
10
L
vs Independiente del Valle
16 May 2026
03
W
@ Manta FC
11 May 2026
10
Deportivo Cuenca

Deportivo Cuenca

D
@ Leones del Norte
15 Jul 2026
11
L
vs Aucas
12 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Libertad
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

GoalVio's model predicts Macara to win with 66% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more