Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Macara are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Aucas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.0 against 56.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.1% in the Liga Pro, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Macara
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
19.1%
Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40