MacaravsAlianza Atletico

Macara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 35.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.