Macaévs
Duque de Caxias
COMPLETEDBrazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/18/2023, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Duque de Caxias · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Macaé are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Duque de Caxias are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Duque de Caxias hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 70.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Carioca - 2, while Duque de Caxias holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Duque de Caxias
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Duque de Caxias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00