Maarduvs
Tartu Welco
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 5/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Maardu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Welco
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
8.7%
Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00