Maarduvs
Riga Mariners
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maardu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Maardu are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Riga Mariners are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maardu hold a 52.5-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Maardu holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maardu
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Maardu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60