Maarduvs
Nõmme United II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 5/9/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maardu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Maardu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Nõmme United II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 42.2 against 40.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Maardu holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maardu
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
6.9%
Maardu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40