GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ślęza Wrocław · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ślęza Wrocław 1-2 Rakow II

Original prediction

Ślęza Wrocław

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2540.1%45.7%5.6 pts
Draw3.4026.5%23.4%-3.1 pts
Away2.6933.5%30.9%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–19%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Ślęza Wrocław

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Ślęza Wrocław has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ślęza WrocławWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rakow IIDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ślęza WrocławRakow II
44.4Attack38.9
16.7Defence16.7
33.3Form11.1
33.9Power25.8
2.17xG1.61
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