Ślęza Wrocławvs
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ślęza Wrocław 2-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Original prediction
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 28.2% | 25.2% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 26.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.9% | 48.6% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80