Ślęza Wrocławvs
Carina Gubin
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ślęza Wrocław · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ślęza Wrocław 1-3 Carina Gubin
Original prediction
Ślęza Wrocław
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.4% | 57.7% | 14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.4% | 19.9% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.1% | 22.4% | -9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Ślęza Wrocław
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Ślęza Wrocław has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40